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1.
Am J Public Health ; 112(10): 1436-1445, 2022 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1974454

ABSTRACT

In response to rapidly changing societal conditions stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic, we summarize data sources with potential to produce timely and spatially granular measures of physical, economic, and social conditions relevant to public health surveillance, and we briefly describe emerging analytic methods to improve small-area estimation. To inform this article, we reviewed published systematic review articles set in the United States from 2015 to 2020 and conducted unstructured interviews with senior content experts in public heath practice, academia, and industry. We identified a modest number of data sources with high potential for generating timely and spatially granular measures of physical, economic, and social determinants of health. We also summarized modeling and machine-learning techniques useful to support development of time-sensitive surveillance measures that may be critical for responding to future major events such as the COVID-19 pandemic. (Am J Public Health. 2022;112(10):1436-1445. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2022.306917).


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiology , Forecasting , Humans , Pandemics , Public Health , Public Health Surveillance , Social Conditions , Systematic Reviews as Topic , United States/epidemiology
2.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 9(6): ofac083, 2022 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1860891

ABSTRACT

Background: The epidemiology of nosocomial bloodstream infections (NBSIs) in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is poorly understood, due in part to substantial disease heterogeneity resulting from multiple potential pathogens. Methods: We identified risk factors for NBSIs and examined the association between NBSIs and mortality in a retrospective cohort of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in 2 New York City hospitals during the height of the pandemic. We adjusted for the potential effects of factors likely to confound that association, including age, race, illness severity upon admission, and underlying health status. Results: Between January 1 and October 1, 2020, 1403 patients had a positive blood culture, and 79 and 101 met the stringent criteria for NBSI among non-COVID-19 and COVID-19 patients, respectively. NBSIs occurred almost exclusively among patients who were severely ill with COVID-19 at hospital admission. NBSIs were associated with elevated mortality, even after adjusting for baseline differences in COVID-19 illness (55% cases vs 45% controls; P = .13). Mortality was concentrated in patients with early-onset pneumonia caused by S. aureus and gram-negative bacteria. Less virulent Candida (49%) and Enterococcus (12%) species were the predominant cause of NBSI in the latter stages of hospitalization, after antibiotic treatment and COVID-19 treatments that attenuate immune response. Most Enterococcus and Candida infections did not have an identifiable source and were not associated with common risk factors for infection by these organisms. Conclusions: Pathogen species and mortality exhibited temporal differences. Early recognition of risk factors among COVID-19 patients could potentially decrease NBSI-associated mortality through early COVID-19 and antimicrobial treatment.

3.
Open forum infectious diseases ; 2022.
Article in English | EuropePMC | ID: covidwho-1787180

ABSTRACT

Background The epidemiology of nosocomial bloodstream infections (NBSI) in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is poorly understood, due in part to substantial disease heterogeneity resulting from multiple potential pathogens. Methods We identified risk factors for NBSI and examined the association between NBSI and mortality in a retrospective cohort of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in two New York City hospitals during the pandemic height. We adjusted for the potential effects of factors likely to confound that association, including age, race, illness severity upon admission and underlying health status. Results Between January 1-October 1, 2020, 1403 patients had a positive blood culture, 79 and 101 met stringent criteria of NBSI among non-COVID-19 and COVID-19 patients, respectively. NBSI occurred almost exclusively among patients who were severely ill with COVID-19 at hospital admission. NBSI were associated with elevated mortality, even after adjusting for baseline differences in COVID-19 illness (55% cases vs 45% controls,p= 0.13). Mortality was concentrated in patients with early onset pneumonia caused by S. aureus and Gram-negative bacteria. Less virulent Candida (49%) and Enterococcus (12%) species were the predominant cause of NBSI in the latter stages of hospitalization, after antibiotic treatment and COVID-19 treatments that attenuate immune response. Most Enterococcus and Candida infections did not have an identifiable source and were not associated with common risk factors for infection by these organisms. Conclusions Pathogen species and mortality exhibited temporal differences. Early recognition of risk factors among COVID-19 patients could potentially decrease NBSI-associated mortality through early COVID-19 and antimicrobial treatment.

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